by Pintsizepete
I can post my exact performance history for each deck, but in general yes, I definitely lose more in the beginning as I figure out how to best pilot each individual deck.The outliers I think are primarily because some cards are mis-estimated in the algorithm. For example, my worst performing deck in comparison to the rating (the 56% win rate for the .128 ADHD) is my only horseman deck, which I believe have been greatly overvalued.
But I can post whatever data is wanted here (exact deck names, W/L records, etc) and also I am still playing so it will possibly evolve.
Interestingly enough, my best deck by algorithm is called San “Flair Crow” Calpurnius. I have showed the deck to numerous people and they say it looks pretty good, but nothing amazing. It is also nigh unbeatable. In fact I just won ANOTHER survival tournament earlier today almost entirely on its back (it went 8-1). So the algorithm seems to be better at predicting deck strength than people just assessing from decklist, though that evidence is certainly anecdotal.